in Search
Untitled Page

ARCHIVED FORUM -- April 2007 to March 2012
READ ONLY FORUM

This is the first Archived Forum which was active between 17th April 2007 and 1st March February 2012

 

Latest post 06-01-2008 5:31 PM by Puncher. 29 replies.
Page 2 of 2 (30 items) < Previous 1 2
Sort Posts: Previous Next
  • 06-01-2008 5:07 PM In reply to

    Re: Prize Draw TONIGHT !!

    joeyboygolf:
    So what are the odds on winning all 10 in one draw!!!

    Since they apparently are completely independent events, the probability for that is simply 1/550 ^ 12 ~=  1.3e-33, which is 32 zeros after the decimal point, or 0.0000000000000000000000000000000013... or in other words pretty d*mn slim Laughing

    The odds for winning twice in the same draw are then 1/550 * 1/550 = something like 1 : 300,000. It most probably will happen sometime during the next 25000 years or so, unless the Klingons start to join as gold members en masse...

    -mika

  • 06-01-2008 5:11 PM In reply to

    • Puncher
    • Top 10 Contributor
      Male
    • Joined on 03-27-2007
    • Nr. Durham, NE England.
    • Posts 9,588
    • Founder

    Re: Prize Draw TONIGHT !!

    Discounting any effect due to luck, it would seem to be 1 in 2.77287206 × 1027!

    - there's only jandyt that has much of a chance then!Laughing

    Generally speaking, you aren't learning much if your lips are moving.

  • 06-01-2008 5:13 PM In reply to

    • Puncher
    • Top 10 Contributor
      Male
    • Joined on 03-27-2007
    • Nr. Durham, NE England.
    • Posts 9,588
    • Founder

    Re: Prize Draw TONIGHT !!

    tournedos:

    joeyboygolf:
    So what are the odds on winning all 10 in one draw!!!

    Since they apparently are completely independent events, the probability for that is simply 1/550 ^ 12 ~=  1.3e-33, which is 32 zeros after the decimal point, or 0.0000000000000000000000000000000013... or in other words pretty d*mn slim Laughing

    The odds for winning twice in the same draw are then 1/550 * 1/550 = something like 1 : 300,000. It most probably will happen sometime during the next 25000 years or so, unless the Klingons start to join as gold members en masse...

    Ahem!......... since when have they been giving an extra two prizes away???

    Generally speaking, you aren't learning much if your lips are moving.

  • 06-01-2008 5:19 PM In reply to

    Re: Prize Draw TONIGHT !!

    Puncher:

    Ahem!......... since when have they been giving an extra two prizes away???

    Got me there! I blame the bottle of Chilean rosé I had lying around  Wink

    -mika

  • 06-01-2008 5:31 PM In reply to

    • Puncher
    • Top 10 Contributor
      Male
    • Joined on 03-27-2007
    • Nr. Durham, NE England.
    • Posts 9,588
    • Founder

    Re: Prize Draw TONIGHT !!

    tournedos:
    Puncher:

    Ahem!......... since when have they been giving an extra two prizes away???

    Got me there! I blame the bottle of Chilean rosé I had lying around  Wink

    OK - as an assignment, please calculate the correlation function that links A/ the probability of correct calculating probability questions to B/ the quantity of Chilean Rosé consumed!

    Generally speaking, you aren't learning much if your lips are moving.

Page 2 of 2 (30 items) < Previous 1 2